Bitcoin Price Prediction: $40K Crash Before Shocking Rally? Elliott Wave Theory Explained (2026)

Get ready for a wild ride as we dive into a fascinating Elliott Wave Theory analysis that could shake up the Bitcoin world!

The $40,000 Shockwave

A technical analyst, known only as 'V', has shared an intriguing Bitcoin price prediction on X, one that might just leave market participants scratching their heads. According to V's analysis, Bitcoin could be headed for a significant price dip, potentially crashing down to $40,000. But here's where it gets controversial... this is just the beginning of a much bigger story.

Unraveling the Elliott Wave Mystery

V's analysis begins by identifying a completed five-wave structure, a key component of Elliott Wave Theory, which has guided Bitcoin's price action from its 2022 lows to a peak around $109,354 early in 2025. These waves, labeled 1 through 5, signify the end of Bitcoin's initial major impulse move.

V projects that Bitcoin is now poised to enter a Wave 2 correction, which could manifest as a classic ABC zigzag pattern. In this scenario, Wave A is expected to bottom out between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, causing Bitcoin's price to dip into the $51,000 to $62,000 range.

Wave B is then anticipated to provide a brief relief bounce, pushing Bitcoin back up towards the 100% to 132% extension zone, which on the chart falls between $109,354 and $120,594. However, the real twist comes with Wave C. V forecasts a steep decline, predicting that Bitcoin's price could plummet to the $51,336 to $35,564 range, a massive 55% to 69% drop from the previous bounce area.

And this is the part most people miss... V believes this move could catch investors and traders off guard. A relief rally back towards six figures in Wave B might restore confidence and attract buyers, only to have the market decline sharply again. In essence, it could be a classic bull trap.

The Bitcoin Endgame: A Shocking Revelation

Following the anticipated Wave 2 correction, V predicts the onset of Wave 3, a phase that could spark a powerful bullish reversal for Bitcoin. The chart illustrates a projected rally, with Bitcoin expected to retest and surpass its previous resistance level of $109,354, potentially resulting in a gain of over 207% from its projected Wave C bottom.

But the real shocker comes next. Once Bitcoin crosses this resistance with strong momentum, the chart projects an even more explosive upward move towards an astonishing $150,000 target. The last time Bitcoin came close to this level was in October 2025, when it reached new all-time highs above $126,000. If V's Elliott Wave forecast proves accurate, it would mark a historic ATH for BTC.

So, what do you think? Is this Elliott Wave Theory analysis a compelling roadmap for Bitcoin's future, or is it just another speculative theory? Share your thoughts in the comments and let's discuss!

Bitcoin Price Prediction: $40K Crash Before Shocking Rally? Elliott Wave Theory Explained (2026)
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